In SI.com’s recent 2012 Mock Draft by Don Banks, college football fans see a lot of usual suspects. Even if you’re not college football fan, you’ll notice that eight players he projects played in the BCS Title game that featured a rematch of LSU and Alabama.
You also see the top three Heisman candidates projected in the top 5. In this edition of CSF, we take a look at Banks’ top 5 projected picks and we go Magic 8-ball on you to determine whether or not these players will make an immediate impact in the NFL.
1. Indianapolis Colts: Andrew Luck/QB Stanford: Unless the Colts feel they can win with two quarterbacks hijacking over $50 million in salary cap, at some point before March 8th, Peyton Manning will sign with a different team for the 2012 season. This opens the door for Luck to see action immediately this fall.
Will he prove his worth in years 1 and 2?
Jeff’s Magic 8 Ball Answer: Ask again later. I know, I know…not much of an answer, but sometimes, the Magic 8-Ball is vague, and in the case of the Colts, so is their immediate future. The Colts showed last season that they are in shambles. They hope to catch lightning in a bottle twice, with their second correct choice of a 1st round QB. While Luck is a great player, it will take at least two drafts or a shift in philosophy (owner Jim Irsay has never been one to go after star free agents), and Luck will likely run into the same issues that St. Louis Rams QB Sam Bradford is facing–with no weapons around him, it doesn’t matter how talented your quarterback is.
2. Cleveland Browns: Robert Griffin III/QB Baylor: In Banks’ mock draft, he sees the the Browns trading up with the Rams, and more importantly, he sees them selecting a bigger, faster, more athletic version of their current QB Colt McCoy. McCoy has done a serviceable job in his first two years for a really bad team, but unless he takes a huge step forward in year three, expect RG3 to be the starter this fall.
Will he prove his worth in years 1 and 2?
Jeff’s Magic 8-Ball Answer: Outlook not so good. RG3′s speed and athleticism are unparalleled, but he doesn’t have the size of Cam Newton. He’s bigger than Michael Vick and is more of a pass-first QB, but let’s be honest–Griffin’s running ability is a big part of his game. His speed and elusiveness will what puts him on Sportscenter’s top plays, but it could be what puts him out of football. As with the Colts, the Browns (or any other team that drafts RG3) have more needs than just the quarterback position, and the lack of weapons will lead to a lot of hits on a star QB.
3. Minnesota Vikings: Matt Kalil/OT USC: Banks sites the need to bolster the O-line over another speedy wideout. As with most any offensive tackles taken high in the draft, expect Kalil to find the field immediately, and should the Vikings choose the talented tackle, he certainly has the ability to anchor an offensive line for a long time.
Will he prove his worth in years 1 and 2?
Jeff’s Magic 8-Ball Answer: Without a doubt. Kalil is a force on the run and pass, and he will prove his worth right away. In fact, Kalil’s departure from USC was one of the main reasons many experts thought that quarterback Matt Barkley would also leave this year for the NFL. If Kalil is available, the Vikings don’t want to pass on dominant tackle that should make a few Pro-Bowl appearances by his third year in the league.
4. St. Louis Rams: Justin Blackmon/WR Oklahoma State: Assuming Banks is correct and the Rams trade their second pick to Cleveland, Blackmon would be an ideal pick. Sam Bradford has been without an impact wide receiver since he got in the league two years ago. Help could be on the way this fall for the tackling dummy, I mean quarterback for the Rams. Bradford will still be running for his life behind a pourus offensive line, but at least he’ll have a stud to throw the ball to this season.
Will he prove his worth in years 1 and 2?
Jeff’s Magic 8-Ball Answer: It is decidely so. Blackmon would have been a first rounder in last year’s draft, but he was only a sophomore. And unlike fellow Okie State first round selection Dez Bryant, Blackmon isn’t a knucklehead and should be able to learn a playbook. Any doubts as to whether Blackmon was a legit top 5 pick were put to rest in the Fiesta Bowl last month, when Blackmon absolutely went off, hauling in eight catches for 186 yards and three touchdowns. Expect much of the same in the NFL.
5. Tampa Bay Bucs: Trent Richardson/RB Alabama: Banks believes the Bucs could benefit from another bruising back to complement LaGarrette Blount, and Richardson is easily the best running back in this draft. At 224 lbs., he has the size to run between the tackles, but he also has the balance and speed to go along with it, qualities that allowed him to average over six yards a carry in the SEC, despite being the focal point of every defense he faced.
Will he prove his worth in years 1 and 2?
Jeff’s Magic 8-Ball Answer: As I see it, yes. The fact that the Bucs already have a big, physical back in Blount means that the addition of Richardson will cut down on carries for each of the running backs, and they will see the same benefit that Alabama saw in Richardson’s first season with the Crimson Tide, when he split carries with Mark Ingram. If a different team selects Richardson and he is forced to carry the ball 250-300 times, well…I’ll have to re-check the 8-Ball for an updated answer.
Click here to see Don Banks’ 2012 NFL Mock Draft 2.0 for his full first round projections and analysis, and check back later this week for my Magic 8-Ball impact predictions later this week.



